Are We Waking Up Yet? James Woolsey has

Woolsey, former CIA Director, nails it.

West Bank Terrorist State
May 23, 2006; Page A16
What does one say to a good ally who seems determined to reinforce failure? That the U.S. will pay for the undertaking?

Israel’s Prime Minister Ehud Olmert is in Washington, where he will be asking for advice and assistance in financing the withdrawal of 50,000 to 100,000 Israeli settlers from 90% to 95% of the West Bank and major portions of Jerusalem, and for the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) to be repositioned largely near the security barrier Israel is constructing. Most Americans are inclined to believe that such disengagement may be a reasonable step toward a two-state solution, even if some territorial disputes remain to be negotiated. It is also widely assumed that Palestinian hostility to Israel is fueled by despair that can only be reduced by Israeli concessions. Both assumptions, however, may be fundamentally flawed.

The approach Israel is preparing to take in the West Bank was tried in Gaza and has failed utterly. The Israeli withdrawal of last year has produced the worst set of results imaginable: a heavy presence by al Qaeda, Hezbollah and even some Iranian Revolutionary Guard units; street-fighting between Hamas and Fatah and now Hamas assassination attempts against Fatah’s intelligence chief and Jordan’s ambassador; rocket and mortar attacks against nearby towns inside Israel; and a perceived vindication for Hamas, which took credit for the withdrawal. This latter almost certainly contributed substantially to Hamas’s victory in the Palestinian elections.

The world now needs to figure out how to keep Palestinians from starving without giving funds to a Hamas government in Gaza resolutely focused on destroying Israel. Before his massive stroke last year Ariel Sharon repeatedly said he would not replay the Gaza retreat in the West Bank. With good reason: Creating a West Bank that looks like today’s Gaza would be many times the nightmare. How would one deal with continuing launches of rockets and mortars from the West Bank into virtually all of Israel? (Israel’s Arrow missile defense will probably work against Iranian Medium Range Ballistic Missiles but not against the much shorter-range Katyushas.) A security barrier does no good against such bombardment. The experience in Gaza, further, has shown the difficulty of defending against such attacks after the IDF boots on the ground have departed. Effective, prompt retaliation from the air is hard to imagine if the mortar rounds and Katyushas are being launched, as they will be, from schools, hospitals and mosques. [and the Western media and NGOs jump on the casualties to deplore Israeli aggression.

Israel is not the only pro-Western country that would be threatened. How does moderate Jordan, with its Palestinian majority, survive if bordered by a West Bank terrorist state? Israeli concessions will also make the U.S. look weak because it will be inferred that we have urged them, and will suggest that we are reverting to earlier behavior patterns — fleeing Lebanon in 1983, acquiescing in Saddam’s destruction of the Kurdish and Shiite rebels in 1991, fleeing Somalia in 1993, etc.

Three major Israeli efforts at accommodation in the last 13 years have not worked. Oslo and the 1993 handshake in the Rose Garden between Yitzhak Rabin and Yassir Arafat produced only Arafat’s rejection in 2000 of Ehud Barak’s extremely generous settlement offer and the beginning of the Second Intifada. The Israeli withdrawal from Southern Lebanon in 2000 has enhanced Hezbollah’s prestige and control there; and the withdrawal from Gaza has unleashed madness. These three accommodations have been based on the premise that only Israeli concessions can displace Palestinian despair. But it seems increasingly clear that the Palestinian cause is fueled by hatred and contempt.

Israeli concessions indeed enhance Palestinian hope, but not of a reasonable two-state solution — rather a hope that they will actually be able to destroy Israel. The Iranian-Syrian-Hezbollah-Hamas axis is quite explicit about a genocidal objective. When they speak of “ending Israeli occupation” they mean of Tel Aviv. Under these circumstances it is time to recognize that, sadly, the Israeli-Palestinian issue will likely not be the first matter settled in the decades-long war that radical Islam has declared on the U.S., Israel, the West and moderate Muslims — it will more likely be one of the last.

Someday a two-state solution may become possible, but it is naive in the extreme to believe that this can occur while the centerpiece of the radical Islamic and Palestinian agendas is maximizing Jewish deaths. A durable compromise will only be achievable when we no longer, to borrow from Daniel Patrick Moynihan, “define deviancy down” for the Palestinians.

Today we cannot envision the 250,000 Jewish settlers who live outside Israel’s pre-1967 borders being permitted to live at all, much less live free and unmolested, in a West-Bank-Gaza Palestinian state. But some 1.2 million Arabs, almost all Muslim, today live in Israel in peace among some 5 million Jews — about double the percentage of Jews now in the West Bank as a share of the Muslim population there. Israel’s Arab citizens worship freely — one hears muezzins calling the faithful to prayer as one walks around Tel Aviv. They vote in free elections for their own representatives in a real legislature, the Knesset. They give every evidence that they prefer being Arab Israelis to living in the chaos and uncertainty of a West Bank after Israeli withdrawal.

A two-state solution can become a reality when the Palestinians are held to the same standards as Israelis — to the requirement that Jewish settlers in a West Bank-Gaza Palestinian state would be treated with the same decency that Israel treats its Arab citizens. Until then, three failures in 13 years should permit us to evaluate the wisdom of further concessions.

Mr. Woolsey, a former director of Central Intelligence, is co-chairman of the Committee on the Present Danger.

Wow. Why are there so few who think so clearly?

4 Responses to Are We Waking Up Yet? James Woolsey has

  1. Cynic says:

    Israeli concessions will also make the U.S. look weak because it will be inferred that we have urged them, …

    There will be no need to inferr because the Arabs have not forgotten previous US statements about withdrawal, ‘independent contiguous state’ etc., whether by GWB or Rice in the present Admin.
    Just looking back on US statements referring to the security wall/fence one will find ‘relativistic balance’ not lost on the Arabs and Palestinians.
    Part of the situation in Gaza is thanks to the border mess Israel was forced to accept by Rice and Wolfensohn as part of their charitable attempt to provide for Palestinian well being, contrary to the intentions of the extremist groups.

    Pity the US did not size up correctly the situation and take into account the implications of then Prime Minister Sharon’s declarations in 2004.
    How many Admins, including the present one, have cried out against the ‘illegal’ settlements and objected to expansion, even just of housing units within the settlement?
    Deluded into accepting the agenda driven MSM’s reasons for terrorism and violence they lost sight of the reality.
    Apparently the Admin did not ‘pay attention’ to Egypt’s acquiescence to the movement of ‘groups’ into and out of Gaza through the arms smuggling tunnels during the Oslo years and after. The result of which is being felt in Iraq (IEDs perfected in Gaza against Israeli tanks)
    That also was not lost on the locals.
    If the Admin wants Israel to stay put then they had better devise a way to assuage the EU who in 2004 wanted international sanctions against Israel, the various church groups calling for divestment and the hate produced on US campuses by academia.

    Israel needs economic stability and growth and we can assume that Sharon called the world’s bluff while pragmatically circling the wagons for what he envisaged would occur. Logistics and new threats from the north dictate it.
    After almost 14 years of incitement in schools, in the media and in the mosques, and violence, and ongoing by the PLO/PA, the Palestians are going to need a “de-nazification” program before being allowed out on the block and it won’t be Israelis doing the job.

  2. Vilmos Soti says:

    Actually the problem is not that the Palestinians would get their state. The problem is that we don’t hold them to the same standards as we (or better said others) hold everyone else, and first of all Israel, and the US as distant second.

    Now the Palestinians have their own mini proto-state, the Gaza Strip. They are in charge, they are the *AUTHORITY*, and if anything bad (read rockets, terrorists, the usual stuff we expect from them) is coming out from there, then they should be held responsible. If they don’t clean up their act, then somebody else will. This is the thing that doesn’t happen. Nobody really tells them look into the mirror and start behaving responsibly.

    In my opinion, Israel has the right to answer militarily to each Quassam rocket attack. The problem is that the world doesn’t allow it. It is not who is in charge in the “occupied” territories. It is the double standard, and the discrimination of low expectations.


  3. RL says:

    cynic: i agree with you. and israel can’t do the de-nazification. but if not they, then who?

    it is one of my major reproaches to the “progressive left” that instead of helping the palestinians grow up and become responsible, they’ve indulged them in their worst delusions.

    part of what your comment underlines is how incredibly foolish even well-intentioned administrations have been, to everyone’s loss. the power of the Politically Correct paradigm is truly amazing.

  4. RL says:

    vilmos — agreed on the double-standard; agreed on the failure of the west to hold the palestinians responsible for their acts. and the media plays a key role in this… constantly playing the card of palestinian suffering with limited attention to the vicious culture they’ve produced.

    the question is, how do we wake people up?

    i think, as people begin to realize what kind of a mess the whole world is in, that there will be more receptivity to holding the palestinians and other muslims responsible. but when i read stories like this i get reminded of how slow the task and how deep-rooted our MSM’s commitment to playing the useful idiot really is.

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